Sunday 25 January 2015

Participation Analysis 【参与率分析】 @ 22-Jan-14

最近外资在去年12月就开始积极外流。本地基金是主要的承接人。散户就漂浮地买卖。

Foreign investor selling aggressively since Dec'14. Local Institution is the main party to adsorb most of the capital outflow. Retail investor is being net buyer and net seller inconstantly from time to time.



这次介绍大家看散户跟随指数所做出的买卖热度。前阵子的大调整,散户的交易买卖曾经达到了一个低潮,也就是当天的买/卖股值各自既然不到2亿。离上一次的低潮最少是一年前以上的事。但是,22-Jan-15的当天的买/卖股值各自开始热了,也是达到5亿以上。过去3个月,只发生了3次。如果热度保持在这个水平或以上,建议大家要更加谨慎对待手上持有的股票。

Introduce a new charting to observe the "heat" through the Local Retails trading (buy/sell) activities. From the recently market adjustment, found the daily buy/sell trade value is less than RM200mil each. It is a low point for at least more than 1 year ago. But, there is a bit "heat" observed from traded value done on 22-Jan-15, which is exceeded RM500mil. This only happened 3 times in the past 3 months. If the heat remain at this level or higher, I think all of us have to be more extra caution on your holding shares.



LR - Local Retails 【散户】
LI - Local Institution 【本地基金】
F - Foreign 【外资】

3 comments:

Shannian said...

Extra caution mean sell on rebound?

《千年虫》投资网站 @ Y2K Investment Blog said...

It mean pay close monitoring on the heat. if u r trader, when it is too hot for a period of time, you should extra careful. sell or not, base on your own interpretation and experience. there is no fix formula for it.

Shannian said...

Thanks for the infor..